Due to the influence of the previous rainy weather, the price of vegetables soared from the end of March to an average of nearly 45% in mid-April. However, the price of vegetables in these two days fell slightly. There is an institutional analysis, while vegetable prices rose sharply in April, food and pork prices are declining. Overall, food prices are growing at a zero-on-quarter ratio, and will not have a significant impact on April's CPI data.

The price of green pepper prices rose sharply
Last week, a Sichuan restaurant procurement staff broke the news to this reporter: “Yesterday, the retail price of green peppers was only 7 yuan a pound, today the wholesale price will be 7 yuan a pound, the retail price rose 2 yuan a day, 75 yuan a kilogram of water spinach also Can not get the goods!" Yesterday, the reporter visited several field farms near Xihua Road, the recent sharp increase in the price of green peppers sold to 8 yuan / kg of the argument was confirmed in a number of vegetable stalls. A stall owner said: "More than green peppers, lettuce is also expensive, do not look at it today to sell 4.5 yuan / kg, the previous two weeks sold over 7 yuan / kg."

A Hunan restaurant boss told reporters: "Cantonese restaurants can also use less chili, Hunan cuisine can not be used, a light a little fried meat every day to consume a lot of green pepper, the cost will go up." The public, Ms. Wang reflects: " Even the most inexpensive winter melon rose from 1 yuan/kg to 1.5 yuan/kg, up 50%."

Vegetable prices will fall back later

“It was mainly because of the rain in Hainan some time ago. Green peppers and kidney beans were basically coming from Hainan. Now, they still need 7 yuan/jin for chili and kidney beans.” One vegetable vendor told reporters. The reporter discovered yesterday that the prices of spinach and lettuce have fallen to 4.5 yuan/kg. "The main reason is that it has been fine for a few days recently, and the supply of local dishes has kept pace."

According to the test data of Guangzhou Price Information Network, as of March 25, the average retail price of 32 major vegetables was RMB 5.45/kg. In the following three weeks, vegetable prices continued to rise. As of April 15, the average retail price of 32 major vegetables rose to 7.89 yuan/kg, and the cumulative increase was close to 45%.

“The rise in the price of this wave of vegetables can also be said to be a seasonal factor. In the end of April and early May of last year, the price of vegetables also saw a larger increase, but this time the difference was that the price of pork was also rising at the same time. Arousing special attention. With the arrival of summer, the rain gradually decreased, the price of vegetables will also fall." Luo Qiang, deputy general manager of Guangzhou Futures Research Department said.

Institutions analyze food prices ring or zero growth

The impact of changes in vegetable prices on the macro economy is mainly likely to affect the CPI, and thus affect macroeconomic policies. However, experts said that the rise in the price of this wave of vegetables will not have a significant pull on the price of CPI in April, mainly because of the increase in vegetable prices, while food and pork prices are falling. According to Zhuo Chuang information monitoring data, as of April 24, the national average price of pork was 18.56 yuan per kilogram, which was a decrease of 8.53% compared with the same period in March, and it also had a significant drop compared with the same period of last year. Considering that food prices account for about one-third of the CPI, and the proportion of grain, pork, and vegetables, respectively, in the total CPI is about 3%, “the decline in grain and pork prices offset the pulling effect of rising vegetable prices on CPI, so comprehensive In April, the role of vegetables, food, pork, and other foods in promoting the CPI will not be very obvious, said Li Dong, analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information Technology.

Founder Securities issued a research report that in April the prices of vegetables had stopped falling, while pork prices continued to fall. The prices of other foods remained stable. Therefore, it is expected that the food prices will increase by zero compared to the previous month.